Farhan Hassan*
OPEC+, Russian, and COVID-19

Russia is the third-largest producer of oil worldwide, accounting for over 12 percent of global crude oil production. The West Siberia and Volga-Ural consider as an oil and gas provinces. In 2018, Russia was the second-largest oil-exporting region worldwide.


Russian Companies

The most important Russian energy companies are three companies, Gas Company which is Gazprom are two oil companies, Lukoil and Rosneft, and there are many logistical support companies like Transneft (oil pipelines) and Bashneft (Oil refining company) for oil product production.

Rosneft and Lukoil are among the top energy companies worldwide. Rosneft is the domestic market leader whose controlling stakes belong to Rosneftegaz, a company fully owned by the Russian government. 


Strategy

•  In line with the Europe 2020 strategy, the Russian oil and gas industry has identified the main directions for sustainable development based on smart specialization, including:

•  Innovation,

•  Resource-efficient.

•  Greener  

•  Competitive economy. 

•  Experience


Historical Stages

•  In 2014, U.S. shale oil production increased its market share, prices crashed from above $114 per barrel in 2014 to about $27 in 2016. 

•  On Sep 16, "OPEC+”. Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed to cooperate in managing the price of oil, creating an informal alliance of OPEC and non-OPEC producers. 

•  On Apr 19, the organic chloride contamination of the Druzhba pipeline transporting crude oil from Russia through Belarus to Czechia, Germany, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia disrupted Russian oil exports.  

•  On Jul 19, The crude oil flow was restored and the contaminated pipeline section was cleaned.

•  2019–20 coronavirus pandemic appears, resulting from it the factories output and transportation demand goes down  

•  On Jan 20, OPEC+ had cut oil production by 2.1 million BPD.

•  On Feb 20, the Trump administration put sanctions on Russia's largest oil company Rosneft.

•  On 15 Feb 20, due to Covid-19(Corona). causing oil prices to fall. the International Energy Agency announced that demand growth would fall to the lowest rate since 2011, with growth falling by 325,000 barrels per day to 825,000 barrels per day, and a contraction in consumption by 435,000 barrels per day. The main drop in demand was in China's markets, the largest since 2008, 

•  On 5 Mar 20, OPEC agreed to cut oil production by an additional 1.5 million barrels per day through the second quarter of the year (a total production cut of 3.6 million BPD from the original 2016 agreement), then on 9 June OPEC, will review the policy during their next meeting. OPEC called on Russia and other non-OPEC members of OPEC+ to abide by the OPEC decision.

•  On 6 Mar 20, Russia rejected the demand, marking the end of the unofficial partnership, with oil prices falling 10% after the announcement.

•  On 9 Mar 20, " Black Monday" After a fail in the dialogue between the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia over proposed oil production cuts during the 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic. Oil prices had already fallen 30% since the start of the year due to a drop in demand.


Oil’s Economy & Challenges

There is no doubt that the future of the oil economy will be loaded with challenges, one of that recently, the world before Corona will not be as the world after corona, besides that there are some main challenges to be considered here such as producers( Russian, Mexico..ect) and ot out of OPEC , the up growth of new technologies such as hydraulic fracturing technology, deep drilling, expanding in explore, and investing in Developing oil's alternatives.

Kingdom as per 2030 vision understand and aware of these kinds of changes, this what main trend of this vision which bases on looking to build a sustainable productive economic system that is not entirely dependent on oil.

However, the oil will remain the significant fuel, but on the other hand, alternatives will in some time have a spot.


 

Farhan Hassan

‏e-mail: fhshasn@gmail.com

Twitter: @farhan_939


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