Tehran on tenterhooks as nuclear deal is laid to rest
Political experts have stressed the importance of the decision taken by the United States on Tuesday to withdraw from the 2015 Iran nuclear deal to limit Iran’s terror-laced expansionist agenda in the region.
Strategic security expert Omar Al-Raddad said that US President Donald Trump's speech on the reasons for pulling out from the nuclear deal confirmed what he had been saying during his electoral campaign. Among the reasons are that the deal gave Iran an opportunity to threaten the US and disrupt regional stability. Iran exploited the lifting of sanctions and began to intervene in the internal affairs of the neighboring counties.
Iranian President Hassan Rowhani spoke about his own concerns following the US decision. He rambled about the US interventions in the region, and tried exploit the Palestinian cause. He sought to muster Arab and Muslim support by pointing out to America’s support for Israel.
It is certain that Iran will now try to muster support from the European Union, China and Russia. Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has already spoken about adopting this approach. But Iran is on rather weak grounds when it bets on these countries. Their interests are clearly aligned with America’s policies, rather than with those of Iran.
The most glaring fallout of the collapse of the deal is its implications on the Iranian leadership, including the prospects of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard revolting against Rouhani. While the economic repercussions will be severe on the Revolutionary Guard and its institutions, the common people will be greatly affected by the devaluation of the national currency and inflation. Besides, planned projects will stand cancelled especially those with major companies in the areas of transport, communications, and industries, especially those related to oil. This increases the possibility of the popular revolution against the regime spreading across Iranian cities all over again. Conditions are expected to further deteriorate when the US imposes severe sanctions against Iran, which will also have repercussions on its allies in the region. Ninety percent of global companies have business interests in the US which will make it difficult for Iran to bust the sanctions.
The future is only expected to be worse for Tehran due to its interventions in Syria, Iraq, Lebanon and Yemen, though it is too premature to talk about an Israel-Iran war in Syria. Even more serious is the possibility of the US or Israel launching military strikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities. However, such a scenario can still be averted as Trump has kept the door open to fresh negotiations on a new agreement. Nevertheless, Israel will continue to target Iranian military assets in Syria.
Political researcher Fahd Dibaji said that most countries, other than those that have strong commercial or terror ties with Iran, have welcomed Trump’s move. The decision is considered a slap in the face of Iran and an overwhelming defeat for the regime and its evil axis. The US decision will also safeguard the region from any future adventures by Iran. Curbing Iran today is better than trying to do so tomorrow. It is time for the whole world to rise up against Tehran’s dangerous agenda to prevent bloodshed of innocent people in the region and even across the world.
He added that Trump’s decision is a victory for Saudi Arabia’s foreign policy and reflects its political weight in the Middle East. The Kingdom had not welcomed the nuclear deal signed in 2015 at the very onset, and had warned against its serious repercussions. The Kingdom has praised America’s strong decision and the subsequent actions announced by the US President.
The US will re-impose biting economic sanctions against Iran. It will severely damage Iran’s already deteriorating economy and also affect other countries that cooperate with Tehran. Tensions in the Middle East, especially between Iran and Israel, are expected to escalate. Outside the Middle East, there is every possibility of the gap between the US and its European allies widening if they continue to oppose the annulment of the agreement.