Hamid Enayat ( @h_enayat )
National catastrophe: Corona tsunami hits Iran

For the several days in a row, the official Iranian regime statistics on coronavirus deaths were over 300 a day. On Wednesday, October 21, 312 deaths were reported. Although this statistic is significantly less than the real statistic, but this engineered statistic also shows the dimensions of the catastrophe that will befall the Iranian people. According to the Mardani, who is a member of the coronavirus staff, the actual statistic is two and a half times bigger than the official statistic. 

The President of Iran, Hassan Rouhani, following the Minister of Health’s report on the catastrophic situation of the outbreak of coronary heart disease and related issues and effective ways to deal with the growing wave of this pandemic, stated: “There is no choice but patience, self-sacrifice, devotion, and prudence.” (Rouhani's site 21 October 2020)

"The restrictions that are being put in place to prevent the spread of the coronavirus are not being implemented and are merely a relief and an escape from responsibility," Ahmad Naderi, a member of the parliamentary health commission, told the state-run Vatan-e-Amrooz website on 15 October, 2020. "Of course, the president himself follows health protocols well and does not go in public for fear of contracting the virus, but he is indifferent to setting preventive measures to break the coronavirus chain," he added.

Regardless of the statistics, with the current state of hospitals and the number of patients increasing day by day, it is very clear that the coronavirus in Iran has resulted in more deaths than ever before and there is no attempt to stave off its uptrend. (Sharq State-run Newspaper, 19 October 2020)

In its report on 22 October 2020, the Parliamentary Research Center criticized the Iranian approach to the pandemic, citing two common methods in South Korea, including "complete quarantine and maximum testing," which have largely helped curb the disease. He considered the implementation of similar policies in Iran unsuccessful and wrote: "In Iran, neither of these two policies has been implemented properly and completely. Neither urban quarantine (in general or in outbreak centers) has been seriously pursued, nor has the policy of maximum testing and isolation been pursued.” (the run state newspaper Arman-e-Melli, October 22, 2020)

"The Ministry of Health has written and approved instructions and protocols for each stage of the crisis, but it is not being implemented," Mardani, member of the Scientific Committee of the National Coronavirus Combat Taskforce (NCCT), told the state-run Vatan-e-Amrooz newspaper on 15 October 2020. "You go and see who is blocking its implementation."

Although the NCCT members see the closure and further restrictions in critical cities as the best way to cut the COVID-19 transmission chain, the Iranian regime continues to insist on non-closure.

referred to the various strategies that exist to control COVID-19, Mardani said: "So far, 15 to 25 percent of the country's population has been contracted, and if we want to establish herd safety, 60 percent must be infected. In that case, we will have severe losses, and as a result, it is not only inefficient but also inhuman."

The methods of different countries in dealing with the coronavirus fall into three categories. The first group of countries have turned to a full quarantine. The second group of countries boasted about the safety of the herd and opted to let the virus continue without any quarantine to achieve herd immunity. Soon it became clear that the adoption of this policy is very risky because in the event of excessive multiplication of the virus, mutations in the virus may occur. Senior World Health Organization officials consider it immoral. The third group of countries increased the number of diagnostic kits and tests to identify suspected cases of coronary artery disease, then used contact tracing to limit the amount of spread. This method has been used in most countries around the world and has been fruitful. The Iranian regime's performance is more in the category of herd safety.

The shocking remarks of the Minister of Health clearly show the goal of the Iranian regime is to achieve this herd immunity. "The virus has multiplied 10 times ... One of my anxieties is that God forbid, we fall into a black hole that is very difficult to get out of that," said the Minister of Health. “If they do not repair our broken wings, there will be no epidemic in this. We will collect the corpses and the wounded at the bottom of the river. People know that I cannot build an epidemic alone. People know that if one day the failure to manage the epidemic is reported to the Ministry of Health, my mouth will open, and I will say who failed." (Khabarfori, 19 octobre 2020)


A government newspaper sarcastically said that now the coronavirus can be like a military enemy. Due to many economic problems, the devaluation of the national currency, the constant rise in prices since 1999, and now this coronavirus pandemic, the Iranian people are facing something that one can stand against. This is happening at a time when there is no doubt that the last two years, compared to 2020, had better economic conditions. We had the riots of January 1996, which turned into an uprising based on economic problems. Two years later, we all saw that the overnight increase in the price of gasoline resulted in the bloody events of November 1998. The economic crises of 1996-98 are by no means as big as 1999 and what people are going through these days.

Khamenei had previously said that we wanted to make coronavirus an opportunity. For Khamenei, what can this be an opportunity for except to guarantee the regime's survival by breaking the spirit of the Iranian people?

Conclusion

The Iranian regime safely seeks to stifle society and wipe out another uprising by leaving one to two million dead after infecting at least 60 percent of the population. A government newspaper states that despite the government's efforts to produce unity from the Iranian in response to the coronavirus, it seems to have also become a political issue in Iran. This can also be well understood in Hassan Rouhani's remarks over the past few days, which introduced the address of the White House as the source of all Iran’s problems and again turned the focus away from the regime’s policies that have negatively impacted the Iranian people. Coronavirus is considered a tragedy for the Iranian people, but it has also had benefits for the current system of the country and has protected it from another uprising so far.

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